Book description
"This is an important book, full of relevant examples and
worrying case histories. By the end of it, the reader has been
presented with a powerful set of tools for understanding
statistics...anyone who wants to take responsibly for their own
medicalchoices should read it" - New Scientist
However much we crave certainty, we live in an uncertain world. But
are we guilty of wildly exaggerating the chances of some unwanted
event happening to us? Are ordinary people idiots when reasoning with risk?
Far too many of us, argues Gerd Gigerenzer, are hampered by our own
innumeracy. Here, he shows us that our difficulties in thinking about
numbers can easily be overcome.
Gerd Gigerenzer is Director of the Centre for Adaptive Behaviour and
Cognition (ABC) at the Max Planck Institute for Human Development in
Berlin and a former Professor of Psychology at the University of
Chicago.
